Summary:
NZD to USD holds above 0.60 as traders await the Fed’s decision, supported by steady NZ economic data and cautious global risk sentiment.
The New Zealand dollar remains resilient above the key 0.60 level against the US dollar, as traders await the outcome of the US Federal Reserve's policy meeting and assess global risk sentiment.
The NZD/USD pair traded in a tight range on Wednesday, holding above 0.60 and reaching as high as 0.6065 before settling near 0.6031 by the end of 17 June 2025. This stability comes despite heightened geopolitical tensions and shifting investor sentiment, with the pair finding support at 0.6010 and resistance around 0.6065–0.6080.
Latest Spot Rate: 0.6031 (17 June 2025 close)
24h Change: -0.17%
1-Week Change: +0.06%
1-Month Change: +3.01%
Traders are closely watching the Federal Reserve's FOMC decision, with expectations that US rates will remain unchanged at 4.25%–4.50%. The outcome is likely to set the tone for the NZD/USD pair in the coming days, especially as the US dollar index continues its downward trend for the year.
Key Technical Levels:
Support: 0.5980–0.6010
Resistance: 0.6065–0.6100
Geopolitical developments, particularly in the Middle East, and recent US economic data have also influenced risk appetite, leading to cautious trading and a preference for currencies like the New Zealand dollar that are sensitive to global growth prospects.
The New Zealand economy has shown resilience, with a trade surplus of $1.43 billion in April and export growth outpacing imports by a wide margin. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is widely expected to keep its official cash rate unchanged in the near term, though markets are pricing in a possible rate cut later this year as inflation pressures ease.
Analysts expect the NZD/USD pair to remain within the 0.6000–0.6100 range in the short term, with any breakout likely dependent on the Fed's policy signals and evolving global risk sentiment. For now, the Kiwi dollar's ability to hold above the psychologically important 0.60 level reflects cautious optimism among traders ahead of key central bank decisions.
Disclaimer: This material is for general information purposes only and is not intended as (and should not be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by EBC or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.
The S&P 500 nears record highs, but rising long-term US debt issuance may threaten market liquidity and stall further equity gains.
2025-06-18
White House unhappy with Fed’s caution, but Fed expected to keep rates steady Thursday; market worries tariffs may push inflation higher.
2025-06-18
Israel's intensified strikes on Iran escalated Middle East tensions, drove up oil prices, and raised concerns over global energy supply stability.
2025-06-18
