​Market cautiously bullish on European stocks

2025-03-25
Summary:

European shares ended flat on Monday as caution prevailed amid hopes Trump may soften his tariff policies in the coming weeks.

European shares ended flat on Monday as caution prevailed, even as hopes grew that Trump could opt for a softer approach with his tariff policies in the coming weeks.


Nearly half of the strategists in a monthly Bloomberg survey have raised their forecasts for the market with less than a third of respondents expecting a pullback for the rest of the year.


The region is benefiting from several factors. German lawmakers passed a landmark spending package last week, unlocking hundreds of billions of euros for defence and infrastructure.


Besides markets expect two more interest-rate cuts from the ECB this year, taking interest rate to 2%. That will keep a wide gap with the Fed, favouring borrowers in Europe and drawing money into stocks.


A net 39% of respondents were overweight European equities relative to global markets, up from 12% last month and the biggest overweight position since mid-2021, according to the latest BofA fund manager survey.


A meeting between Russian and US officials on a partial ceasefire in Ukraine ended after 12 hours of negotiations in Saudi Arabia, Russian state media reported, with a joint statement expected later today.

E50EUR

The Stoxx 50 remains supported by 50 SMA, but MACD divergence suggests the upside momentum has eased. As such the index could dip below 5,400 in the following sessions.


Disclaimer: This material is for general information purposes only and is not intended as (and should not be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by EBC or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. 

Wall St back in green with Nvidia jumping

Wall St back in green with Nvidia jumping

S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 rose for a second day as cooling inflation and easing US-China trade tensions boosted investor optimism.

2025-05-14
​Yen weighed down by brighter US outlook

​Yen weighed down by brighter US outlook

The yen fell Tuesday as the dollar rose after trade war eased. U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods drop from 145% to 30%, China’s to 10% from 125%.

2025-05-13
​Aussie up on progress in US-China trade deal

​Aussie up on progress in US-China trade deal

The Australian dollar rose after US-China weekend talks announced a trade deal. Though details are unclear, any easing may boost sentiment.

2025-05-12